{"id":35456,"date":"2025-11-07T10:10:40","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T09:10:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/?post_type=publikacija&#038;p=35456"},"modified":"2025-11-07T13:52:05","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T12:52:05","slug":"political-and-institutional-crisis-in-serbia-possible-scenarios-november-2025-june-2026","status":"publish","type":"publikacija","link":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/publication\/political-and-institutional-crisis-in-serbia-possible-scenarios-november-2025-june-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Political and Institutional Crisis in Serbia: Possible Scenarios (November 2025 \u2013 June 2026)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It examines the rise of a decentralised civic and student movement as the main force for democratic change, contrasted with the regime\u2019s repressive use of state institutions to maintain power. The international community\u2019s divided stance &#8211; between stability and democratic principles &#8211; further shapes the crisis trajectory. The paper outlines four potential scenarios: controlled repression and authoritarian consolidation; EU-mediated negotiated transition; escalation into chaos and possible governance collapse; or early elections with uncertain outcomes. Ultimately, it warns that Serbia\u2019s future hinges on the balance of domestic resistance and international engagement.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The BCSP policy brief \u201cPolitical and Institutional Crisis in Serbia: Possible Scenarios (November 2025 \u2013 June 2026)\u201d analyses the country\u2019s deepest political and institutional turmoil in over a decade, rooted in systemic corruption, impunity and the erosion of public trust following the Novi Sad tragedy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":35467,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8622],"tags":[],"vrsta":[11267],"pdfpub":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-35456","publikacija","type-publikacija","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-in-focus","vrsta-policy-brief"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publikacija\/35456","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publikacija"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publikacija"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35456"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publikacija\/35456\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35469,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publikacija\/35456\/revisions\/35469"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35456"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35456"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35456"},{"taxonomy":"vrsta","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/vrsta?post=35456"},{"taxonomy":"pdfpub","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pdfpub?post=35456"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bezbednost.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=35456"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}